The 2017 NAB AFL Draft is only days away, but the uncertainty surrounding who will go where is unlike any other year.
An open draft pool and clubs keeping their preferences extremely close to their chest isn’t a great mix when trying to compile a mock draft.
Most clubs will have the same names in, or around, the top 20 – just in slightly different orders. From there though, they say can you can throw a blanket – albeit a mighty large one – over well over 100 players for the next 50 or so picks. It’s that open.
As it stands today, Cam Rayner – despite concerns over his running – remains the likely pick for Brisbane, however come Friday night, if AFL chief Gillon McLachlan announces Andrew Brayshaw's name it wouldn't totally shock.
In some ways, the lack of certainty adds intrigue for fans on the night…after all, who really wants to know exactly what is going to take place with each pick anyway? There’s no fun in that!
So, here is how we are hearing things may fall...
If you have any draft-related questions, you can send me a tweet to @BAndersonSEN. The NAB AFL Draft will be broadcast LIVE on 1116 SEN on Friday, November 24 from 6:45pm AEDT.
1. Brisbane Lions
21-Oct-99 | 186.5cm | 87.2kg | Western Jets
In the end, the Lions stick to their guns and simply pick the highest rated player on their draft board. It is understood Chris Fagan and David Noble are big fans of Andrew Brayshaw, but Rayner is too talented to pass up. Forget his running, he's a forward first who is a match-winner.
Who else? Andrew Brayshaw
8-Jun-99 | 187.2cm | 85.2kg | Dandenong Stingrays
If the Lions nab Brayshaw at No.1, it appears likely that Fremantle would overlook Rayner in favor of Davies-Uniacke. He adds some class and versatility to their midfield group and should settle in well in Perth. Andrew Brayshaw would be a rough chance too.
Who else? Andrew Brayshaw
16-Oct-99 | 185.4cm | 78.2kg | Bendigo Pioneers
Rayner is a chance here if things go differently at the very top, but Dow's speed and power will complement Patty Cripps, Matt Kennedy and Marc Murphy in midfield nicely. Some clubs would take him at No.1 if they had the pick. Adam Cerra has also been linked to the Blues.
Who else? Cameron Rayner, Adam Cerra
4. North Melbourne
7-Oct-99 | 186.3cm | 80.3kg | Eastern Ranges
North may have a hard time overlooking Brayshaw given his family links to the club if things fall this way, but Cerra is the better prospect and if not for a few injuries over the past 18 months, could have been a No.1 contender.
Who else? Andrew Brayshaw, Luke Davies-Uniacke
8-Nov-99 | 183.9cm | 81.7kg | Sandringham Dragons
Freo will have put some thought into taking the Sandringham Dragon at No.2 if the Lions don't take him, but having done their homework they think that it is more likely that he reaches their second pick than Davies-Uniacke. This is the earliest Jaidyn Stephenson could go, while Cerra is a chance too.
Who else? Jaidyn Stephenson, Adam Cerra, Aaron Naughton
25-Sep-99 | 191.9cm | 94.5kg | Glenelg
The Magpies could go a number of ways with their first selection but opt for the talented South Australian inb a real toss of the coin. If Brayshaw falls through he could be the man, while they'll also look long and hard at Jaidyn Stephenson and Aaron Naughton. They've also been linked to Nathan Murphy. The whisper that has been doing the rounds in recent days is that they could take Ed Richards – that would throw things into chaos!
Who else? Andrew Brayshaw, Aaron Naughton, Jaidyn Stephenson, Nathan Murphy, Ed Richards,
7. St Kilda
23-Oct-99 | 190.8cm | 82.5kg | Northern Knights
The Northern skipper and St Kilda has been possibly the steadiest link over the past few weeks in what is an unpredictable draft. He has speed, agility, lovely foot skills and is a great decision maker. He could play in all three zones of the ground.
Who else? Aiden Bonar, Hunter Clark, Darcy Fogarty, Jaidyn Stephenson
8. St Kilda
15-Jan-99 | 188.5cm | 75.4kg | Eastern Ranges
With their second pick, the Saints have a dilemma. Do they trust their doctor’s opinion on Stephenson's heart issues? They are one of the few clubs that attended his medical screen last week. If not, Clark and Bonar are right in the mix. They visited Fogarty and his family at his home in Lucindale recently too.
Who else? Aiden Bonar, Hunter Clark, Darcy Fogarty
9. Western Bulldogs
30-Nov-99 | 194.0cm | 85.0kg | Peel Thunder
The Dogs already have a few young tall defenders – and recruited Jackson Trengove – but some scouts think Lewis Young will eventually settle as a forward, while Kieran Collins is still a work in progress. Naughton steps in from day one and plays straight away.
Who else? Nick Coffield, Hunter Clark
3-Jul-99 | 184.7cm | 78.1kg | Oakleigh Chargers
Having seen Sam Weideman in a Melbourne guernsey, watching a Richards pull on navy Blue will hurt Magpie fans. The Blues will hope Fogarty gets through and could look at Bonar, but are said to covet some speed and class on the outside. He's one of the bolters.
Who else? Darcy Fogarty, Lochie O'Brien, Aiden Bonar
11. GWS Giants
8-Mar-99 | 188.6cm | 86.5kg | Dandenong Stingrays
Bonar could already be gone (St Kilda a chance), but it is unlikely he gets past the Giants if things fall this way. With so much talent on their list, the can take the punt his knee will be fine. Oakleigh pair Jack Higgins and Ed Richards are others in GWS's sights as is Darcy Fogarty should he slip through.
Who else? Jack Higgins, Ed Richards, Darcy Fogarty
26-Mar-99 | 186.1cm | 79.9kg | Dandenong Stingrays
Adelaide will sit and wait to see who gets through to them. Many expect that Fogarty doesn't get past them if available but Clark adds some depth, grunt and class to midfield. Oscar Allen's name has come up in the last few days but is that a fit?
Who else? Darcy Fogarty, Oscar Allen
13. West Coast Eagles
19-Mar-99 | 191.1cm | 82.4kg | West Perth
Nailing the Eagles pick is always a challenge. Allen makes sense given he is a local and fits a need with Josh Kennedy now 30, but they are also desperate for some outside run and class. That's where Stephenson (if there) and O'Brien may be considered.
Who else? Jaidyn Stephenson, Lochie O'Brien, Jack Higgins
14. Sydney Swans
18-Sep-99 | 184cm | 77.4kg | Bendigo Pioneers
Sydney has been one of the clubs linked strongly with former cricketer Nathan Murphy, but they may be able to find some height later on. They are said to want some run and class and that's what O'Brien provides. Richards could be a fit if he gets there too.
Who else? Jack Higgins, Ed Richards, Aiden Bonar
15. Brisbane Lions
1-Apr-99 | 178.8cm | 75.5kg | Western Jets
Pairing Fogarty up with his mate Cam Rayner (if the Lions take him at No.1) seems to be one theory at the moment, but Brisbane like the Western forward/midfielder regardless. He makes things happen and is very efficient. Jack Higgins will be considered too.
Who else? Jack Higgins, Lochie O'Brien
16. Western Bulldogs
19-Mar-99 | 177.8cm | 77.0kg | Oakleigh Chargers
Higgins and Fogarty could easily flip spots given that the Bulldogs were big fans of the latter when he trained there pre-season with the AFL Academy. Higgins will provide the Dogs with a smart little forward who can go through midfield. Murphy is another that they could look at.
Who else? Lachlan Fogarty, Nathan Murphy
11-Feb-99 | 194.6cm | 92.3kg | Bendigo Pioneers
If you told Richmond at the start of the year that they'd be picking this deep in the first round and Brander would still be available, they would have been more shocked than if you told them they'd win the flag. The Tigers are confident that a big on Patrick Naish will come after their third pick (25) and are on the hunt for talls.
Who else? Nathan Murphy, Sam Hayes
18. Brisbane Lions
18-May-99 | 191.0cm | 86.1kg | Sandringham Dragons
This may be the earliest that Constable (who I rate in the top five) comes off the board as clubs have concerns about his running which may see him fall into the 20s. Brisbane scouts are fans though of the big-bodied ball-winner and he'd compliment their group very well with his size and footy IQ.
Who else? Lochie O'Brien, Matthew Ling, Zac Bailey
19. Gold Coast Suns
23-Jul-99 | 195.5cm | 82.3kg | Sturt
The South Australian is not only a late developer (he grew 15cm in two years), but also a bit of a late riser. He could go here, or in the second round. If Richards fell through, he would be a very strong chance while Sam Taylor would add depth as a key defender. Northern dynamo Jack Petruccelle is only a slight chance.
Who else? Sam Taylor, Ed Richards, Jack Petruccelle
And the rest…
|21||West Coast Eagles||Tim KELLY||South Fremantle|
|22||Geelong||Nathan MURPHY||Sandringham Dragons|
|23||North Melbourne||Charlie SPARGO||Murray Bushrangers|
|24||Geelong||Sam TAYLOR||Swan Districts|
|26||West Coast Eagles||Liam RYAN||Subiaco|
|27||Richmond (F/S)||Patrick NAISH||Northern Knights|
|28||GWS Giants||Harrison PETTY||Norwood|
|29||GWS Giants||Brent DANIELS||Bendigo Pioneers|
|31||Carlton||Joel GARNER||Eastern Ranges|
|32||Brisbane Lions (A/S)||Connor BALLENDEN||Brisbane Lions|
|33||Melbourne||Sam HAYES||Eastern Ranges|
|34||West Coast Eagles||Ryley STODDART||Eastern Ranges|
|35||Sydney Swans||Jordan HOULAHAN||Sturt|
|36||St Kilda||Oscar CLAVARINO||Dandenong Stingrays|
|37||Geelong||Toby WOOLLER||Oakleigh Chargers|
|38||Collingwood (F/S)||Tyler BROWN||Eastern Ranges|
|39||Melbourne||Matthew LING||Geelong Falcons|
|40||West Coast Eagles||Ben PATON||Murray Bushrangers|
|41||Adelaide||Andrew MCPHERSON||Woodville-West Torrens|
|42||Gold Coast Suns||Noah BALTA||Calder Cannons|
|43||Fremantle||Dylan MOORE||Eastern Ranges|
|45||Brisbane Lions||Kane FARRELL||Bendigo Pioneers|
|46||St Kilda||Jack PETRUCCELLE||Northern Knights|
|47||GWS Giants (A/S)||Nick SHIPLEY||St George|
|48||Port Adelaide||Will WALKER||Sandringham Dragons|
|49||Melbourne||Bayley FRITSCH||Casey Demons|
|50||Essendon||James WORPEL||Geelong Falcons|
|51||Port Adelaide||Jackson ROSS||Eastern Ranges|
|52||Gold Coast Suns||Brandon STARCEVICH||East Perth|
|53||Sydney Swans||Tom MCCARTIN||Geelong Falcons|
|54||Brisbane Lions||Jack PAYNE||Brisbane Lions|
|55||Gold Coast Suns||Noah ANSWERTH||Oakleigh Chargers|
|56||Gold Coast Suns (A/S)||Brayden CROSSLEY||Southport|
|58||Geelong||Gryan MIERS||Geelong Falcons|
|59||Port Adelaide||Nathan KRUEGER||South Adelaide|
|60||Collingwood||Matthew DAY||Oakleigh Chargers|
|61||Fremantle||Tom DE KONING||Dandenong Stingrays|
|62||Port Adelaide||Alex MARTINI||Glenelg|
|63||North Melbourne||Bailey HENDERSON||Bendigo Pioneers|
|64||GWS Giants||Lloyd MEEK||GWV Rebels|
|65||Fremantle||Angus STYLES||Sandringham Dragons|
|67||Hawthorn||Hayden MCLEAN||Sandringham Dragons|
|68||West Coast Eagles||Wil POWELL||Claremont|
|69||Fremantle||Joel AMARTEY||Sandringham Dragons|
|71||Carlton||Alex BOYSE||Essendon VFL|
|72||Hawthorn||Trent MYNOTT||Eastern Ranges|
|73||Gold Coast Suns||Brayden AINSWORTH||Subiaco|
|74||North Melbourne||Mitch CROWDEN||Sturt|
|75||Western Bulldogs||Ben SLOAN||Brisbane Lions|
|76||Essendon||Haiden SCHLOITHE||South Fremantle|
|77||Hawthorn||Tom NORTH||Eastern Ranges|
|78||Richmond||Flynn APPLEBY||GWV Rebels|
The order has been adjusted to accomodate father-son (F/S) and academy (A/S) bids/selections.
All predicted passes have been removed from the order – as they are on draft night.
2017 Draft Big Boards...
6th October: Big Board 2.0 | Bolters and sliders galore!
***SEN Inside Football's Draft Special issue the perfect cheatsheet to have beside you during the draft. With 240 player profiles, you'll know all about every player that has their name read out! On sale at your local newsagent, Woolworths, Coles, 7-Eleven, Caltex and Coles Express or available online.