Kane Cornes believes there are still 14 teams alive in the finals race after seven rounds, but only sees one vulnerable side in the top eight.
There are currently only two changes to last year’s finals sides, with Melbourne and Sydney both in the top four currently and St Kilda and Collingwood on the outside looking in.
Cornes firstly went through the four teams he believes cannot make finals from here.
“Who have we put a line through? Who’s done?” Cornes told SEN SA Breakfast.
“Categorically, it’s May 4th, whose season is done after seven games? North Melbourne is done. No chance. They’ll be lucky to win a game.
“At 1-6 Collingwood is out. They’re no hope of playing finals this year, that’s not going to happen.
“Hawthorn are out. They’re the only three … and Adelaide. They’re four I’m comfortable to say bang, you’re done.
“If that proves to be wrong, I’ll put my hand up and say I got it wrong. Everyone else is a small chance.”
Cornes sees Sydney as the most vulnerable team in the top eight as the season unfolds, with GWS the most likely to jump in.
“Essendon is a small chance (to make the eight), St Kilda is the same,” he said.
“Then we get to the teams that can genuinely knock someone out of the eight and that’s Carlton, GWS, Gold Coast and Fremantle.
“I think the most vulnerable team inside the eight is probably Sydney, for me. As well as they’ve started, a couple of injuries, young players getting tired, they would be the most vulnerable for me.
“Can one of Fremantle, Gold Coast, GWS, Carlton, St Kilda or Essendon knock them out? If it’s anyone, I’d probably think the most threatening to do it is the Giants if they can get some players back from injury because they’ve got so much talent.”
For the most part, Cornes believes the top eight is locked in already.
“It’s pretty locked in isn’t it? You can’t see any of the Bulldogs, Melbourne, Port, Geelong won’t, Brisbane won’t, Richmond won’t and West Coast plays enough games at home to make sure they get in,” he said.
“It’s a concern for the AFL where we could have a situation where six teams are out of it at Round 7.”
West Coast sits in eighth spot on the ladder with 16 points and a percentage of 103.9.
They are percentage ahead of Fremantle in 9th and only four points clear of the Suns, Giants, Blues, Crows and Saints.