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The ladder range: Where each of the 12 remaining finals hopefuls could finish

2023-08-15T07:30+10:00

Two rounds remain in the 2023 home and away season and 12 … well, technically 13 teams still have their finals hopes alive.

With the top eight far from being locked away after Round 22, we’ve gone through every team that's yet to book holidays in September and figured out where they could finish.

Check out the ladder range for each finals hopeful below.

COLLINGWOOD club banner

Current position: 1 (68 points, 126.7%)

Final ladder range: 1-2

Collingwood will finish first if they win one of their two remaining games against Brisbane and Essendon.

They will also finish first if either the Lions or Power drop one of their two remaining games.

Their only real threat for top spot is Brisbane given Port Adelaide are 15.6 percentage points behind the Magpies with two games remaining.

Remaining games: Brisbane (Marvel), Essendon (MCG)

BRISBANE club banner

Current position: 2 (60 points, 123.2%)

Final ladder range: 1-4

The Lions are locked into the top four and can finish anywhere from first to fourth.

They’re equal on points with Port Adelaide but are 12.2 percentage points ahead of them while they’re one game clear of Melbourne but trailing them by 0.8.

If they drop this Friday’s game against Collingwood, there’s every chance they finish fourth.

Remaining games: Collingwood (Marvel), St Kilda (Gabba)

PORT ADELAIDE club banner

Current position: 3 (60 points, 111.0%)

Final ladder range: 2-4

Port Adelaide are also locked into top four, but their poor percentage could see them drop to fourth if they drop one of their two remaining games.

They’ll finish top two and book a home final if they can gain one win on Brisbane in the last fortnight.

Remaining games: Fremantle (Optus), Richmond (Adelaide Oval)

MELBOURNE club banner

Current position: 4 (56 points, 124.0%)

Final ladder range: 2-5

The Demons now can’t win the minor premiership, but they still have a top-two finish to play for.

If they gain one win on Port Adelaide, they will jump them based on their strong percentage, while they will likely jump Brisbane if they gain one game on the Lions.

They can drop as low as fifth if they lose both games and Carlton wins both of theirs.

Remaining games: Hawthorn (MCG), Sydney (SCG)

CARLTON club banner

Current position: 5 (50 points, 116.8%)

Final ladder range: 4-9

The Blues still have a slither of hope to finish top four but that appears highly unlikely.

They can still miss finals if they lose both of their remaining games but are helped by the fact that multiple sides just below them will play off in the last fortnight.

Remaining games: Gold Coast (Heritage Bank Stadium), GWS (Marvel)

ST KILDA club banner

Current position: 6 (48 points, 107.0%)

Final ladder range: 5-12

The Saints will just about make finals a certainty with one more win.

If they lose both of their remaining games, they can begin to freefall.

Remaining games: Geelong (Marvel), Brisbane (Gabba)

SYDNEY club banner

Current position: 7 (46 points, 112.1%)

Final ladder range: 5-12

One more win will just about lock Sydney into finals.

Two will see them qualify, while they’ll also miss if they lose both.

Remaining games: Adelaide (Adelaide Oval), Melbourne (MCG)

WESTERN BULLDOGS club banner

Current position: 8 (44 points, 108.5%)

Final ladder range: 5-12

The Bulldogs will beat West Coast this week and will hold a top-eight spot until the last round.

If the Cats beat the Saints this week, their final-round showdown in Geelong could be a mini-elimination final.

Remaining games: West Coast (Marvel), Geelong (GMHBA)

ESSENDON club banner

Current position: 9 (44 points, 99.1%)

Final ladder range: 6-14

Essendon will almost certainly need to win both games to qualify for finals.

Their match against GWS this week is huge given how close the sides are on the ladder, but it’ll be easier said than done with their poor percentage and tough run home.

Remaining games: GWS (GIANTS Stadium), Collingwood (MCG)

GWS GIANTS club banner

Current position: 10 (44 points, 98.6%)

Final ladder range: 6-14

Like Essendon, the Giants will almost certainly need to win both games to play finals.

If they can recapture the form they found in July they’re still alive, but it seems unlikely.

Remaining games: Essendon (GIANTS Stadium), Carlton (Marvel)

GEELONG club banner

Current position: 11 (42 points, 117.5%)

Final ladder range: 6-14

Geelong are actually more likely to play finals than the two teams on top of them due to their strong percentage and having a draw up their sleeve.

They’ll have to win two games to make it, but they’re in luck that they face the Bulldogs in the last round.

You get the feeling it could come down to that all-important final game.

Remaining games: St Kilda (Marvel Stadium), Western Bulldogs (GMHBA)

ADELAIDE club banner

Current position: 12 (40 points, 115.8%)

Final ladder range: 7-13

Funnily enough, Adelaide are also well and truly alive and probably more likely than both GWS and Essendon to play finals.

They’ll beat West Coast in Round 24, so all of their focus will be on this Saturday at home against Sydney.

They’ll need results to go their way, but don’t discount the Crows given their strong percentage.

Remaining games: Sydney (Adelaide Oval), West Coast (Optus)

Richmond are also technically still alive, but their chances of rising to eighth are next to zero.

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