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The 14 certainties for the rest of Round 10


Back for another week, the team gives you an insight into how every game will play out across the weekend.

Labelling something a ‘certainty’ in any sport is fraught with danger.

But we’ll attempt to find some anyway.

Here is what we consider certainties for the seven remaining games in Round 10.

Collingwood versus Adelaide

Nick Daicos 30+ disposals

Nick Daicos is beginning to make his Brownlow push.

The gun on-baller has picked up 30 or more disposals in three of his last four games and will hope to keep that going against the Crows.

While he’s been tagged before by Matthew Nicks, that was when he was a defender.

Last time he faced Adelaie, the young superstar played on-ball and helped himself to 37 disposals, one goal and eight clearances.

If he does that again, the Pies probably win. He’ll hope to have a similar impact on Saturday.

Taylor Walker 2+ goals

Taylor Walker is beginning to find some nice consistency.

The Adelaide forward has kicked two goals in each of his last three games.

He’s every chance to push that out to a fourth straight, particularly as he kicked five the last time he faced the Pies at the ‘G.

There’s no doubt he’ll get a couple of chances at least. As a good finisher, he should make them count.

Lachlan Geleit

GWS versus Western Bulldogs

Toby Greene 2+ goals

Toby Greene has been weirdly quiet in recent weeks…

He’s only kicked two goals in the last three weeks, both coming in the loss to Essendon at Marvel Stadium.

That’s way too unlike the GWS captain, and he’ll be ready to respond in a big way.

Up against one of their rivals, there’s no way Toby doesn’t put his fingerprints on this game.

He kicked five last time against the Dogs too. 2+ should be no problem.

Adam Treloar 25+ disposals

Adam Treloar has been absolutely prolific in recent weeks.

His lowest account across the entire 2024 campaign is 27 touches, while he achieved a season high of 41 last week against the Tigers.

He’s also passed the 30+ marker on six of nine occasions this season.

As a result, 25+ is an absolute certainty … those that want some more value, 30+ might be the play as he’s still passing that more often than not.

Lachlan Geleit

St Kilda versus Fremantle

Dow to record 15+ disposals, 3+ clearances

The new Saint comes into Ross Lyon’s side for the first time this week against a strong Dockers midfield outfit.

But Paddy Dow has never had any trouble finding the footy and will be suited under the roof at Marvel. He’ll take all the midfield time of Saints veteran Seb Ross, who has been managed this week, and comes back to AFL level after averaging just shy of 20 possessions for Sandringham in the VFL.

Dow, 24, had over 20 disposals in each of his last four AFL games as a Blue, gathering over four clearances in each of those games, too.

Serong for 30 possessions

Serong doesn’t get the credit he deserves on the east coast of Australia.

The 89-gamer is every chance to be leading the Brownlow after Round 9 and hasn’t had less than 26 touches this year. In his last three games, he’s averaging 37 possessions.

Jai Newcombe, Ollie Wines, Adam Treloar have all stuffed the stats sheet in the last month against the Saints and Serong’s form reads better on paper than that star trio.

A tough player to tag given his agility and poise, expect the breakout star to fill his boots once again on Saturday night.

Seb Mottram

Brisbane versus Richmond

Dunkley to have 20+ disposals, 5+ tackles and Lions to kick 100+ points

Josh Dunkley plays his 150th AFL game at the Gabba on Saturday night.

The former Bulldog is unbeaten in milestone games to date, including his debut, as well as his 50th (against Richmond in 2019) and 100th matches.

In 2024, Dunkley averages 25.4 disposals and 7.4 tackles with season highs of 31 and 9.

Against Richmond this weekend, the 27-year-old should pick up 20 touches, at the very least, while laying five tackles, at the very least.

Given the struggles of the Tigers, the Lions should also put up a score of at least 100 points.

Prestia to have 20+ disposals, 3+ clearances

Dion Prestia was a welcome addition to Richmond’s midfield last weekend, even if the game was a huge blowout.

The injury-prone midfielder picked up 23 disposals and 3 clearances in the loss to the Bulldogs.

Without the likes of Tim Taranto and Jacob Hopper still sidelined, the Tigers desperately need Prestia to step up and have an impact.

Provided he doesn’t cop another soft tissue injury, we feel the 31-year-old should have at least 20 touches while contributing least three clearances against Brisbane on Saturday night.

Andrew Slevison

Essendon versus North Melbourne

Kyle Langford 2+ goals

Kyle Langford has been the spearhead behind Essendon’s five-game unbeaten streak.

He’s kicked at least two goals in every game bar one through nine games this year and will be looking to extend this against a North Melbourne outfit which has conceded the most goals this season.

He kicked seven goals across the two games against the Roos last year and should easily reach this marker in their Sunday afternoon match-up.

Tom Powell to have 20+ disposals and 4+ tackles

Tom Powell has been a bright spark in an otherwise lacklustre North Melbourne outfit.

In a rejuvenated role through the middle of the ground, he’s averaging a career high 21.7 disposals and 4.3 tackles and has hit the 20-disposal mark in 6 games this year.

With the absence of Colby McKercher and Jy Simpkin, Powell will be around the ball more often and we expect him to easily hit these markers despite facing top quality opposition.

Harry Attiwill

Port Adelaide versus Hawthorn

Ollie Wines to have 25+ disposals and 6+ clearances

In the absence of club captain Connor Rozee, Ollie Wines has stepped up admirably, hitting a rich vein of form.

Averaging 24.7 disposals for the year, Wines has emerged as a pillar of consistency for the often unpredictable Power, playing a pivotal role in their surprise victory over Geelong last week.

With an impressive 33 disposals in that game, Wines looks set to maintain this high level of performance, especially against the Hawks, who, despite some recent successes, have generally struggled in the clearance battle.

With Rozee’s absence in this match-up, we expect Wines to continue to dominate in the middle of the park.

Lloyd Meek to have 35+ hit-outs and a goal

At just 26 years old and yet to play 50 games, Lloyd Meek has been one of Hawthorn’s standout performers in 2024.

Meek has firmly secured the No. 1 ruck position in Sam Mitchell’s team and has excelled, scoring in their last four consecutive games.

His ruck work has been second to none, amassing over 45 hit-outs in each of their previous two games.

Facing off against the 21-year-old Dante Visentini, who has only four AFL games under his belt, Meek is poised to deliver another stand out performance.

Harry Attiwill

West Coast versus Melbourne

Jake Waterman to kick 2+ goals

Although he missed out on playing last week, Waterman has been in scintillating form up forward for the Eagles recently.

The 26 year old has amassed a whopping 18 goals in his last four games and has arguably been one of the inform players in the competition for the last month.

He should have no problems in snagging two majors this weekend.

Shane McAdam to kick a goal

Since moving over to Melbourne from Adelaide in the most recent off-season, McAdam has been dealing with a hamstring injury that has prevented him from making his debut for his new colours until now.

In his last three games as a Crow, McAdam kicked eight goals before requesting a trade at the end of the season.

The last time McAdam played against the Eagles he managed to snag three goals in Adelaide’s 16-point win. He'll be eyeing a big performance to close the round.

Zac Sharpe

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